29 August, 2014 AsiaNews.it Twitter AsiaNews.it Facebook            

Help AsiaNews | About us | P.I.M.E. | | RssNewsletter | Mobile





mediazioni e arbitrati, risoluzione alternativa delle controversie e servizi di mediazione e arbitrato
e-mail this to a friend printable version


» 10/07/2005
ASIA
Avian flue pandemic could kill up to 300 million people
International health experts warn it might impossible to stop virus spreading once the pandemic is underway. The US is looking at ways to close its borders and isolate 'hot spots".

Hong Kong (AsiaNews/SCMP) – One million Hong Kong people could contract the bird flu in an eight-week pandemic, according to Thomas Tsang Ho-fai, consultant at the Centre for Health Protection.

Yesterday, Dr Tsang outlined a worst-case scenario in which 15 per cent of the Territory's population could become sick. He warned that anti-viral drugs would have limited effectiveness "because the virus can easily develop resistance with widespread use of the drugs."

Quarantine would work in the early phases, but past 5-10 per cent of the population it would not work, he said. US-based flu expert Henry Niman agrees.

Dr Tsang refused to speculate on the number of people who might die but previous bird flu waves have killed as many as 55 per cent of the people infected.

The only possible countermeasure would be closing schools and public places and telling people to stay home.

Dr Tsang said that once H5N1 was able to spread efficiently between humans, "it will be a totally different ball game".

Experts agree that if it mutated into a strain that spread easily between humans, H5N1 had the potential to be worse than the 1918 Spanish flu. About 300 million people could die. And worse still, "a second flu wave could follow in 12 months", Tsang added.

On Wednesday Hong Kong Secretary for Health, Welfare and Food York Chow Yat-ngok said the pandemic might mean that "the whole world will collapse".

Fear is such that in China the authorities remain on a high state of alert, monitoring the ongoing outbreaks of avian flu elsewhere in South-East Asia, studying strict countermeasures in poultry production and sale to limit the risk of contagion.

For China it is also an important economic issue. The People's Republic (with Vietnam) at one time accounted for one quarter of the world' poultry exports; now the crisis has had serious negative impact on its economy.

Meanwhile, more than 65 countries and international organisations met yesterday at the US State Department for discussions as to possible steps to be taken.

In the US, officials are debating whether, in case of a pandemic, they should order closing schools and imposing restrictions on travel and the movement of goods.

US Health and Human Services Secretary Michael Leavitt said federal, state and local authorities will have to deal with quarantine decisions—isolating the sick and closing large gatherings where the virus might spread. 


e-mail this to a friend printable version

See also
10/28/2005 CHINA – ASIA
In China no information about the dangers of the avian flu
10/18/2005 ASIA
Alarm bells sound in the West but the frontline against the bird flu is in Asia
10/27/2005 ASIA
Suspected new cases of bird flu in humans in China and Thailand
01/17/2006 CHINA
Bird flu: more than 1.5 billion dollars needed to stem infection
11/14/2005 ASIA
Bird flu: scientists fear the virus has become "more contagious"
ASIA
WHO denies exaggerating bird flu pandemic threat
HONG KONG
Avian flu: chicken farms to be inspected in Hong Kong
TURKEY
Bird flu risks stopping Turkey's economic growth
CHINA
There is no evidence that Tamiflu works against bird flu
CHINA
Bird flu: more than 1.5 billion dollars needed to stem infection
TURKEY
Avian flu: Between good and bad news
indonesia
Indonesian 13-year-old girl dies of bird flu
CHINA – VIETNAM
Bird flu risks rise as Chinese New Year approaches
China
Two people in China sickened by bird flu have died
TURKEY
Bird flu reaches Istanbul
TURKEY
EU says Turkey's bird flu is lethal H5N1 strain
TURKEY
Bird flu at the gates of Europe, second death in Turkey
CHINA - HONG KONG
Bird flu: Hong Kong stops poultry imports from Sichuan
SAUDI ARABIA
Bird flu and terrorism cast a shadow over pilgrimage to Makkah
ASIA
Bird flu feared more virulent in Eastern Europe than in Asia
ASIA
WHO: China may have unidentified bird flu outbreaks
CHINA
Bird flu: in China WHO says many human cases unreported
CHINA
Sixth human case of bird flu in China
ASIA
Five-year old boy is Thailand's 14th bird flu victim
CHINA
Farmer who blew the whistle on bird flu outbreak is arrested
CHINA
WHO urges China to share H5N1 virus samples
ASIA
Bird flu kills again in Indonesia
HONG KONG - CHINA
Bird flu 38 times more infectious than SARS
CHINA
Bird flu: "Impossible" for China to vaccinate 14 billion birds
Vietnam
New human bird flu case confirmed in Vietnam
ASIA
Two more suspected avian flu deaths in Indonesia and Vietnam
SOUTH KOREA – APEC
Asia-Pacific Rim leaders urge common action against avian flu
ASIA
More outbreaks and human bird flu cases expected in China
CHINA - VIETNAM
China admits to first human case of bird flu
ASIA – CHINA
Avian flu: China might not be reporting every outbreak
ASIA
Bird flu: scientists fear the virus has become "more contagious"
ASIA
New human bird flu cases suspected in Vietnam and China
ASIA
Bird flu suspected in new death in Indonesia
CHINA
Prime Minister admits bird flu contagion peril
ASIA
A new death from bird flu in Vietnam
CHINA
China admits to three possible human cases of bird flu
INDONESIA
Fifth bird flu victim in Indonesia
ASIA
Bird flu pandemic would cost Asia 300 billion dollars
ASIA
Pandemic would be a disaster for Asia's economy
ASIA
In China newspapers can report on the bird flu only if authorised
THAILAND - ASIA
Thai woman tests positive for bird flu
CHINA - ASIA
Bird flu in China very serious, say official sources
VIETNAM - CHINA
Two more bird flu deaths feared in Vietnam
CHINA – ASIA
In China no information about the dangers of the avian flu
ASIA
Suspected new cases of bird flu in humans in China and Thailand
ASIA
More birds infected in China but world leaders have few suggestions
ASIA
Pandemic inevitable, say experts from around the world meeting in Canada
ASIA
Bird flu: China and Thailand want tighter controls on bird farming and human housing
CHINA
Beijing acknowledges bird flu situation is grave
ASIA
Bird flu spreads and claims new victim in Thailand
ASIA
Alarm bells sound in the West but the frontline against the bird flu is in Asia
ASIA
Asian battleground key to beating bird flu virus
CHINA
China: an incubator of bird flu
ASIA - EUROPE
World ill-prepared to face bird flu pandemic
ASIA
Suspect death in Jakarta fuels global bird flu fears
TURKEY – INDONESIA
Bird flu: Ankara tries to allay western fears
INDONESIA
Indonesia's bird flu toll is rising
Asia
Bird Flu: Are there risks, cures?

Editor's choices
IRAQ-ITALY
"Adopt a Christian from Mosul," the thanks of the Patriarch Louis Sako; the concerns of the Bishop of Kurdistan
by Bernardo CervelleraThe head of the Chaldean Church is grateful for the AsiaNews campaign and hopes that "this chain of solidarity will reach far and wide”. Helping refugees to remain in Iraq. But many want to flee abroad. The bishop of Amadiyah where thousands of displaced people have found haven in churches and homes: We also help the Arabs (Muslims), and Yazidis, for free and without looking at our confessional differences.
ITALY - IRAQ
"Adopt a Christian from Mosul" to respond directly to Iraq's emergencyAsiaNews is launching a fundraiser to support Christians targeted by the Islamic State, thus responding to a request by the Patriarch of Baghdad and Pope Francis's urgent appeal "to guarantee all necessary assistance - especially the most urgently needed aid - to the great multitude of people who have been driven from their homes, whose fate depends entirely on the solidarity of others." More than 100,000 people have been forced to flee their homes leaving everything behind and now have nothing to live on. To help them, five euros a day are enough. The funds raised will be sent to the Patriarchate of Baghdad, which will distribute them according to the needs of each family.
CHINA - VATICAN
Wenzhou bishop and priests slam government's campaign against crosses and churches in Zhejiang
by Eugenia ZhangFor Mgr Vincent Zhu Weifang, from the official Church, the campaign of destruction is increasing social instability. It is real persecution against the Christian faith. The bishop apologises for failing to intervene sooner. He was hoping that the campaign would end quickly. Catholics and Protestants suffer injuries as they attempt to defend their sacred buildings. For priests in Wenzhou, the campaign is unfair and touches buildings that have all the right papers. Such "stupid acts" by the government are undermining social harmony.

Dossier
by Giulio Aleni / (a cura di) Gianni Criveller
pp. 176
by Lazzarotto Angelo S.
pp. 528
by Bernardo Cervellera
pp. 240
Copyright © 2003 AsiaNews C.F. 00889190153 All rights reserved. Content on this site is made available for personal, non-commercial use only. You may not reproduce, republish, sell or otherwise distribute the content or any modified or altered versions of it without the express written permission of the editor. Photos on AsiaNews.it are largely taken from the internet and thus considered to be in the public domain. Anyone contrary to their publication need only contact the editorial office which will immediately proceed to remove the photos.