Iran-Israel

An Iranian blockade of the world's main maritime transit point for oil and gas would have severe repercussions in Asia, especially for China, India, Japan, and South Korea. As crude oil prices rise, many doubt that Iran can carry out its threats because they would harm China, risking further isolating the country.

The escalation between Israel and Iran is testing India’s "strategic autonomy". New Delhi has strong economic and geopolitical interests in both countries. From the Port of Haifa controlled by the Adani group to the Iranian terminal of Chabahar, India is trying to defend its trade corridors from Chinese interference and growing regional tensions. But the instability caused by the war threatens its energy, exports, and digital infrastructure.

Maryam Marof Arwin, founder of the Purple Saturdays Movement, spoke to AsiaNews about often inhumane conditions of Afghan refugees in Iran, which got worse following Israel’s recent strikes. At least one Afghan has died so far from an airstrike. Women, children, dissidents, and activists risk their lives if repatriated, but even in exile they face hunger, precariousness, and discrimination. For the activist, human rights defenders must promote respect for humanitarian law.

The Middle East accounts for 25% of total tea exports. And 60% of private remittances come from the 1.5 million migrants working in the region. A 5% drop in orders could cost up to $75 million a year. Attention is focused on the Strait of Hormuz for possible blockades by Tehran.

Azerbaijan is on the front line of the conflict between Israel and Iran, with its ambivalent role as a strategic partner of Tel Aviv and complex and contradictory relations with Tehran. But neighbouring Armenia also openly expresses fears that the conflict could be protracted, involving other countries in the region.

The archbishop of the Iranian capital shares his account of the first week of the war launched by Israel with AsiaNews. ‘Everything is happening through airspace and by remote control’, the ‘collateral victims: displaced, wounded and dead’, fears of an accident involving the release of ‘toxic gases or radiation’. The awareness that war ‘is not the solution’ and prayers to Jesus who ‘made the two into one people’.

Speaking to AsiaNews, the activist slams the escalation with Iran. The Gaza War is no longer making headlines, but atrocities continue and the hostage issue remains unsolved. In Israel, normal life has been put on hold as Iranian missiles cause “scenes of destruction”. In this context, it is hard to see what the future has in store, except that “many Israelis would like to leave the country.”

With Xi Jinping's offer of mediation from Astana falling on deaf ears, China is looking with great concern at a possible direct US intervention in Iran. The crisis is highlighting the fragility of the multilateral bodies promoted by Beijing such as SCO and BRICS. Meanwhile, Chinese nationals are being evacuated.

Developed by Iran for 20 years as a deterrent, the "Axis of Resistance" is keeping a low profile in this war. From the Iraqi prime minister to the religious leader al-Sadr, the order is to "silence" the "reckless voices" that want to start a war. At least 20 Muslim and Arab nations sign a statement for a nuclear-free Middle East "without exceptions" (a reference to Israel).

From Italy, exiled film director Fariborz Kamkari comments on what is happening in his country. Khamenei has failed to understand that with 7 October 2023 he found himself in a dead-end street. The Pasdaran are at a crossroads, between a military regime that makes peace with the West or mass destruction like with Hamas. Iran has a long history of “stolen democratic revolutions” while it is among Kurds that the “Woman, Life, Freedom” movement first emerged.

Just as Israel's attack puts Iran's nuclear programme front and centre, the new report from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute reveals the growth and modernisation of all of the world's nuclear arsenals. China, India, Pakistan, and North Korea have expanding programmes, while agreements signed by Russia and the United States to limit the number of strategic warheads will expire soon. Today “nuclear weapons do not prevent conflict,” says an expert. Instead, “They also come with immense risks of escalation”.

Four Palestinian women from a family in Tamra are among the people killed by Iranian rockets, members of an extended family engaged in dialogue. Israel’s Arab towns and villages are most exposed because they lack bunkers and safe rooms. Italian Friends of Neve Shalom Wahat al-Salam are outraged that some in Israel “toasted watching rockets fall on Palestinian neighbours”. A group of Israeli and Iranian intellectuals issued a joint appeal for “peace and diplomacy”.