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  • mediazioni e arbitrati, risoluzione alternativa delle controversie e servizi di mediazione e arbitrato


    » 08/08/2011, 00.00

    CHINA – UNITED STATES – ASIA

    China sees its own downfall as US credit enters twilight

    Wang Zhicheng

    The People’s Daily and Xinhua publish harsh commentaries about US politicians, their useless democracy, and US military adventurism. They are also a sign of fear that, as the US dollar goes, so will China with its US$ 1.16 trillion in US treasury bills. Beijing pleads for action.
    Beijing (AsiaNews) – For the past few days, the People’s Daily and the Xinhua news agency have been full of commentaries about the downgrading of the US debt. Today was no different with two or three more pieces. However, none of these articles appears to represent the official line. So far, China’s rulers have been silent and overall media coverage in China has varied in tone and approach

    Charges include attacks against American political leaders for showing “irresponsibility” and doubts about US democracy as well as insults over US “addiction to debt” and US militarism and adventurism in Iraq and Afghanistan. Yet, all the commentaries end pleading with the United States to honour its debt to “maintain the stable value of the dollar” and boost hope for growth in the world’s economy.

    A commentary published today in the People’s Daily by Zhong Sheng (a pen name that means ‘Voice of China’) said that difficulties faced by the US and (EU) were due to multiparty democracy, which favours partisan interests over those of the nation.

    “It must be understood that if the US, Europe and other advanced economies fail to shoulder their responsibility and continue their incessant messing around over selfish interests, this will seriously impede stable development of the global economy,” the paper said.

    “People have deepening misgivings about the political decisiveness of the Western nations, and this has also seriously hurt global investors' confidence in world economic recovery, exacerbating market turmoil,” it added. Speaking about the United States, “What has been pushed to the edge of the precipice is not the global economy, but Washington politics,” it lamented.

    Two days ago, when Standard & Poor’s lowered US credit rating to Aa+, Xinhua published a commentary full of scorn for the “US ‘addiction’ for debt”, saying that it was high “time for the US to tighten [its] belts” and increase savings.

    Today, the same paper carried a commentary accusing the United States of spending too much on defence, with heavy bills for wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. In it, the US was told, “to reflect on its domineering thinking and deeds,” and “change its policies of interference abroad.”

    In another commentary, the US was accused of pursuing a “weak dollar” to help its exports. “For the desperate policymakers, to boost export seems to be the last way to kick[start] the U.S. economy.”

    Yet, many comments end the same way, pleading with the US to remember that they have a “responsibility as the issuer of reserve currency to maintain the stable value of the dollar”, i.e. what China wants.

    As the world's biggest stockpile of foreign exchange reserves as well as the largest holder of US Treasuries, China has a lot to lose. An estimated 70 per cent of its reserves are in dollar assets, including US$ 1.16 trillion in US Treasuries. For Beijing, a weaker dollar means a diminishing nest egg.

    What is more, the United States is the largest importer of Chinese-made goods worth US$ 364.9 billion. If exports decline, China’s already problem of overproduction will get worse with negative consequences for employment and social stability.

    For this reason, an opinion piece signed by Li Xiangyang said, “the American people do not need to tighten their belts”. If they did, Chinese exports would suffer.

    For analysts, such commentaries appear to be designed to calm Chinese public opinion, already rattled by fears of impoverishment (because of American policies) and praise China’s own decision-making system, belittle democracy and play on mainlanders’ anti-Taiwan sentiments.

    However, many of the statements sound more like a plea. As one put it, before making “any move, please [. . .] don't forget” that “as the issuer of reserve currency” you must safeguard “the stable value of the dollar”.
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    See also

    08/08/2011 ASIA
    Asia stock markets plummet amid fears of new global crisis
    All markets slide, some loosing up to 5%. A decline or stagnation of U.S. and European economies feared, with a reduction in consumption and exports from Asia. The G-7 promises to "support financial stability and growth." The ECB seems intent on buying Italian and Spanish bonds. The economies of many Asian countries at risk of. China’s criticism.

    19/12/2008 ASIA - UNITED STATES
    U.S. debt approaches insolvency; Chinese currency reserves at risk
    In a few months, America's public debt has grown to more than 100% of GDP. Fear of a valuation crisis for the dollar, with tremendous consequences for Asian countries, major exporters to the United States.

    19/03/2008 ASIA
    Economic crisis renews prospects for world currency
    As the number of prophets of doom multiplies, the demand-side structural imbalance of the world economye, now under scrutiny in many economic studies, lies in the artificial compression of Chinese domestic consumption.

    10/11/2011 ASIA – ITALIA
    Asian shares and currencies plunge because of Italian crisis
    Hong Kong loses 4.5 per cent; Tokyo, 2.86; Seoul, 3.79; Shanghai, 1.05. Currencies are also down. Filipino exports decline. China’s exports only grew by 15.9 per cent in October, the lowest rise in two years. Chinese imports climb by 28.7 per cent.

    27/08/2008 CHINA
    Credit crisis “Made in China”
    The Chinese juggernaut is showing increasing signs of economic crisis. Inflation and the slowdown in world economies are pushing up unemployment and the number of bankruptcies. Bank earnings and housing prices are down. The negative trend could last one or two years.



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