10/22/2018, 11.02
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In a war between China and the United States, China would lose and the Party fall

by Wei Jingsheng

Chinese social networks are a buzz with rumors of a possible war between the two world giants. Many, blinded by nationalism, push China to counter the US in the South China Sea. And even Xi Jinping's think tanks are pushing for war, extolling a possible victory. For the great dissident in exile, the result of a confrontation would be the defeat of China and the end of the communist dictatorship in the country. But with much suffering for the Chinese people.

Washington (AsiaNews) - The current Chinese media has become accustomed to publishing articles without the author's name.  In other words, as in some online media, one can talk nonsense irresponsibly.  So I rarely read Chinese articles without authors' names.  A few days ago, when I appeared in the same talk show with Professor Xia Ming, he reminded me that Xi Jinping might engage in some military operations in the South China Sea and threaten the United States in an attempt to stop the trade war.  Because indeed Xi Jinping does not have any trade card to play, he needs to use a so-called "quality means", including the means of war.

I was shocked and thus scanned through the websites which liked to make irresponsible nonsense. Indeed, there were full screams of war. In the past two days, I saw Chinese warships provoking the US warships in the South China Sea.  Thus I have to correct my prediction that Xi Jinping does not dare to launch a war.

Given a war between China and the USA, China will be defeated.  However, Xi Jinping may not be so smart.  His flatterers are constantly exemplifying, in the name of self-reliance, the Korean War, etc. They say that over all there are many advantages for China to win the war, even including that young American soldiers would not be the opponents to the Chinese army.

Both Chinese and foreign military experts, as long as they do not need to flatter or are not brain-damaged, are all clear that China would be defeated in a war between China and the USA. The so-called self-reliance, the Korean War and other claims are stinking chess tricks by outsiders that could not make the point.

There are many factors to determine the outcome of a war.  We can compare and see the difference between the Korean War and the present day.  At that time, the United States had ended the Second World War five years previously, without too many veterans and the society was generally filled with a disliking of war.  However, China had just ended its civil war.  Its military was experienced and was a winner.  The morale was strong.  This attitude offset the gap between weapons and equipment.

The Second World War did not touch the soil of the United States, with the new recruits lived a wealthy and stable life at home.  They were not able to take hardship and endure difficulties.  Yet, the Chinese people had been experiencing decades of war and were very hardworking and able to endure difficulties.  This relative gap just offset the shortcomings of the supply shortage of the Chinese military.  Coupled with the US military's long-distance overseas operations, it was not as flexible as the Chinese military.  After these comparisons, it can be said that the two sides were evenly matched, and the final result was also an exact match.

The situation now is almost reversed.  The military reform in China has made the military unsettled; the dictator lacks his own garrison or assault squad; the discipline and endurance of the Chinese soldiers are now less than that of the US military; years of peace have also caused the commanders short of prestige to convince their bosses and subordinates. The art of the Chinese military command is hard to predict, but lack of experience is surely a factor of disadvantage.

China's weapons and equipment are well known to everyone, and lag way behind what the USA can bring to the field.  With what other advantages can it challenge the US military?  Maybe that famous left-handed salute by Xi Jinping during the military parade, and the rhetoric he learned from the Cultural Revolution era.  But can these things be useful?

Under the premise that both North Korea and Taiwan are too difficult, the Xi Jinping clique, which has no military quality, choosing the South China Sea, which then would make it fall into a trap without hope.  The Navy is the strength of the United States and is an absolute strength.  Can Xi use a few small islands on the South China Sea that cannot be moved to become an opponent of the US Navy?  That would be the fantasy of a person with brain damage.

The result of launching a war in the South China Sea would make China forever lose its right to dispute in the South China Sea.  This is basically a trap set up by the Trump administration.  This is also the reason why Chinese netizens support Xi Jinping's war in the South China Sea.  When this war is started, China will be defeated, and the Communist regime will die sooner.  However, the Chinese people will fall into a catastrophe and be buried with the Xi Jinping clique that is suffering from this brain damage.  The suffering of the Chinese people will make me feel unbearable.

In addition, this brain damaged Xi Jinping clique thinks the USA does not dare to fight in a war against China, as they see the Defense Secretary Mattis keeps hoping to talk friendly with China.  Thus they began to provoke in the South China Sea in an effort to recover some public opinion for the Xi Jinping clique.

Yet, the Xi clique does not know that the US Secretary of Defense and President Trump are really playing a two-man comic show.  In Sun Tzu's art of war, this is called using the illusion of unable to fool the others. When this clique cannot even see a simple trick like this, it does mean that the clique is a bad chess player.

Of course, we cannot blame them.  That is because their abilities are used to flatter their boss and in trying to see what the boss wants, so it is difficult to ask them to be smarter than this brain-damaged level.


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