The president accuses Hezbollah of trying “to provoke the collapse of Lebanon [. . .] on behalf of Iran." The country’s parliament votes to postpone May elections, extending its term due to “force majeure”. Syria supports Lebanon's efforts to disarm Hezbollah and boosts its presence on the border. The risk of annexation and the disappearance of historic Christian villages is high.
The Lebanese government is working for a ceasefire through diplomatic channels. On the ground, Hezbollah continues its asymmetrical fight with the Jewish state. Christian residents are resisting evacuation orders. Originally scheduled for next May, Lebanon’s parliamentary elections are set to be postponed.
The Lebanese government has outlawed the armed activities of the pro-Iranian party. A rift has emerged in the relationship between Hezbollah and the Shia Amal movement, which endorses the government's resolution. The Jewish state is hitting Lebanese territory hard again, putting pressure on the “buffer zone”. US mediation has "saved" the airport, which remains open. Hundreds of thousands of displaced people crowd the streets.
There have already been several victims among the many expatriate communities. The first death in the Jewish state from an Iranian missile was that of a Filipino caregiver. The conflict has also spread to the seas, with a seafarer killed on an oil tanker off the coast of Oman. A Pakistani, a Nepalese and a Bangladeshi citizen are the three people killed in the United Arab Emirates.
Regional tensions are being followed with close attention and concern in Lebanon. As diplomatic manoeuvring between Washington and Tehran intensifies, rumours of war are multiplying. Lebanese sources warn that the parties “are playing with fire”. For Iran, the very survival of the regime depends on it. The risk of Hezbollah's involvement is very real.
Anger and discontent are widespread over the Cabinet’s decision. The prime minister and the finance minister are accused of populist measures. The VAT rose to 13 per cent, while 20 litres of petrol now cost almost US$ 3.50 more. The government calls these measures "essential”, while trade unions are announcing a fight.