04/13/2023, 00.00
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Russians in the Caucasus hope for an end to the war on Ukraine

by Vladimir Rozanskij

A survey of web searches reveals that the population of the region is less afraid of military mobilisation. Anticipation grows for Vladimir Putin's exit from the scene. there is no longer any hesitation in using the term 'war' for the special operation. Irony criticism of the Moscow regime rony.

Moscow (AsiaNews) - People today are less afraid of mobilisation than they were last autumn; more and more people are waiting for Vladimir Putin to leave the scene; and there is no longer any hesitation in using the term "war" for the special operation in Ukraine, for which the wait for the end is also growing. In general, the submerged disapproval of the Kremlin's policy is growing, so much so that some observers say that a 'pre-revolutionary' situation is forming.

These are three findings, in contrast to the propaganda and official information, of a survey by the Kavkaz.Realii website on the issues agitating the population of the Russian Caucasus over the war in Ukraine. In order to avoid the ambiguities of traditional polls, to which no one now confides their authentic thoughts, Yandex-Metrika, a tool freely available to anyone, was used to analyse the most popular issues of the inhabitants of the two federal districts in the area, based on what is circulated via the internet and social networks.

The use of the word 'war' is punishable by administrative and even criminal sanctions, but research on the topic of 'news about the war in Ukraine' showed the word being banned 54 thousand times in the South Caucasus (the Rostov and Crimea Caucasus), and 16 thousand times in the North Caucasus (Chechnya, Dagestan, Ingushetia).

The area where the war is most intensively and freely talked about is the republic of Karačaj-Cherkessia, with more than 1,000 enquiries per month, and also in the Volgograd region (Stalingrad) with 11,000 enquiries, for a much larger population.

The official definition of a 'special operation' remains confined to official and public statements, while the population knows full well that this is a real war, no matter how much one is for or against it. The well-known sociologist Nikolai Mitrokhin, who emigrated to Germany, confirms that 'people are not fooled by propaganda, even if they are afraid to speak freely'. In any case, even the regular Levada-Centr polls emphasise that support for the war continues to decline.

Another sociologist who has remained in Russia, Iskander Jasaveev, confirms that the population 'is not assimilating the new language of power', everyone understands the reality of what is going on, and criticism of official policy is widespread in the sense of both war radicalism and pacifism and the desire for an end to the conflict, in various forms.

From the expressions on the net, it is evident 'the weariness with the negativity of the whole affair, one can no longer watch the news and broadcasts of the state media, which always repeat the same things'.

Advice on 'how to escape mobilisation', which was widespread a few months ago, is decreasing, and now only a few dozen are to be found, although 'how to volunteer' remains topical. The most popular phrase is 'when the war ends' (62,000 times),

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